Month: December 2020

Book Notes – The Art of Thinking Clearly

The art of thinking clearly by Rolf Dobelli is one of the best books to sharpen the psychological side of decision making. I loved the book here are my notes

Use below biases as a checklist when making investment or other decisions

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It is much more common that we overestimate our knowledge than that we underestimate it. Similarly, the danger of losing something stimulates us much more than the prospect of making a similar gain.

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Why do we act so irrationally? Because the downside to such behaviour is not always apparent. In the financial markets, things are clear: a financial option on a security always costs something. There is no such thing as a free option,
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Luck vs Skills

What could be more exhilarating than to participate in a bull market in which the rewards to owners of businesses become gloriously uncoupled from the plodding performances of the businesses themselves. Unfortunately, however, stocks can’t outperform businesses indefinitely, Bull markets can obscure mathematical laws, but they cannot repeal them.

Warren Buffett

The pandemic and financial markets recovery in 2020 is nothing short of miracle. No body expected it except few folks on twitter who somehow manage to get all calls right.

Michael Mauboussin’s in his book, The Success Equation gave us a very easy test to identify whether an activity involves luck or skill

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